Craig's 2004 Predictions

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In 2004, Craig predicts the following will happen:

1. PalmSource will release Palm OS 6 to much fanfare. It will be a marked improvment for the operating system, and devices running on OS6 will be available before July. They will rock.

2. Samsung will continue to encroach on Sony's market share in nearly every consumer electronics product area except for gaming.

3. LCD televisions will continue to expand as prices drop, brands multiply, and sizes increase. Plasma TV sales in 2004 will plateau, leading to a year-on-year decline (the first ever) in 2005.

4. Wi-Fi mania will continue to build and someone will announce a low-power, low-range Wi-Fi variant that effectively obviates the need for Bluetooth. The "death of Bluetooth" will be once again announced by the press...and this time they may be right.

5. Bad news will continue to pour forth from the US Congress and White House in terms of poorly conceived, technology-ignorant legislation and cow-towing to powerful media lobbyists (e.g., RIAA and MPAA). Environmental devastation and deregulation will increase at the hands of the Bush administration.

6. Convergence in home entertainment (audio/video) electronics will be hampered by an industry that is unable and/or unwilling to agree on and follow technical standards.

7. Despite technical and legislative solutions, spam will continue to increase as a percentage of total email, but more slowly (due to the convergence towards 100%).

8. There will be peace on Earth (hey, I can dream, can't I?)

1 Comment

4. Wi-Fi mania will continue to build and someone will announce a low-power, low-range Wi-Fi variant that effectively obviates the need for Bluetooth. The "death of Bluetooth" will be once again announced by the press...and this time they may be right.

not to be overtly rude- but this is just plain stupid.

bluetooth is not simply a transport mechanism, its a set of protocols and api's that allow for various profiles- like headset, synch, object push, etc...the primary use of bluetooth is not generalized ip LAN networking. most consumers use bluetooth for synch and headset, period.

this standard set of protocols and API's is what allows apple to easily support synch with their i-life suite and various bluetooth phones, and what allows different phones to interoperate with different bluetooth headsets.

wi-fi deosnt have the higher level protocols and standards like bluetooth does. therefore you will never, ever, see a wi-fi phone mobile headset...not to mention the chipsets are 5 times the price.

anyone whose ever used a bluetooth headset (headset profile) with voice dialing, by pushing a button and having the phone dial and connect from 10 feet away, will quickly realize that it wont go away...because it really works quite well.

i would also wager that the proliferation of bluetooth mice and keyboards released by microsoft and logitech recently have helped secure its position.